> The foresight Process:

 

Foresight analysis of the 37 key variables of Millennia2015

The 321 source variables, the 37 key variables, the method and the contributors 8 main questions

> List of the 321 source variables linked to the 37 variables of Millennia2015 [pdf]

 

The 37 variables of Millennia2015:

 

V01 - Women, access to information and to knowledge

 

V02 - Strengthening women capacities

 

V03 - Women in situation of conflict and of war

 

V04 - Women and new participative skills

 

V05 - Climate, ecology and respect of the environment

 

V06 - Change of attitudes about women

 

V07 - Women, religion and obscurantism

 

V08 - Women and eHealth: connected medical knowledge benefiting all

 

V09 - Women, lifelong well-being and pro-activity

 

V10 - Women, cultural and linguistic diversity

 

V12 - Women and girls status, relations between women/men, girls/boys in family and in society

 

V13 - Women, ethics and sustainable development

 

V14 - Women, poverty and strive for daily survival

 

V16 - Women and girls, lifelong education and training

 

V18 - Key position for women at all power and decision levels 

 

V19 - Women and human rights

 

V20 - Women and democracy, societal priority for the future

 

V21 - Women, research, science and technology

 

V23 - Women and gender equality

 

V24 - Women, media, ethics and development

 

V25 - Violence against women

 

V26 - Women, economy and adaptation of the values for a sustainable global management

 

V27 - Women, feminism, ideas debate and politics

 

V30 - Towards a knowledge society: creativity and culture

 

V31 - Women and discrimination

 

V32 - Women and stereotypes, respect of oneself and of others

 

V35 - Women, work and entrepreneurship

 

V36 - Women actors of development, creators of futures, assuming future generations' responsibility

 

V37 - Women's strength and sensibility as drivers for the future

 

V38 - Women as mediators and generators of peace

 

V40 - The strength of networks for women

 

V41 - Women and good governance

 

V45 - The power of stories and of intergenerational transmission to inspire change

 

V46 - Women, digital divides and internet governance

 

V47 - Women and migration

 

V48 - Women's empowerment

 

V51 - Women, creative and collaborative solidarity

 

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The contributions to the foresight research 

 

The contribution were very important for Millennia2015's foresight research process. Studying the results of the "information transfer" phase organized in Liege in 2008, we have extracted the 37 variables of Millennia2015. Among them, we proposed to choose the variables that mainly concerned the contributors, to analyze and document them by answering the questions proposed below while collecting different testimonies in order to present the situation as precisely as possible. It was also interesting to study the chosen variables in interaction with others that complete them in order to identify crossed impacts which emerge from the analysis. 

 

The variable analysis ("fiches variables") presented did help us to identify the long term issues, the problems and the possible solutions linked to Millennia2015 37 variables in relation with each country, region or community. We did analyze them to identify the long term issues, to build the vision at the horizon 2025 and the strategy to reach it. As a result, we did produce the Millennia2015 Action Plan finalized during the international conference organized at the UNESCO at the end of 2012.

 

 

Eight main questions

Active in 2010-2011

 

Question 1 - Definition of the variable

Define and explain the title of this variable on the basis of the context (country, region, community, …) in which you evolve (with women's point of vue).

 

Question 2 - Retrospective assessment

How has this variable influenced - or not - women's empowerment during the last 10 (or 20) years?

 

Question 3 - Actual or emerging trends

What is the impact of this variable on women's daily life in your country, region or community, as well as on their participation to ongoing development and progress?

 

 

Question 4 - Uncertainty and discontinuities

To what extent the elements of this variable can they stop the process of women's empowerment and their active contribution to desirable futures?

 

Question 5 - Possible assumptions of evolution

How will this variable modify the status of women's empowerment as well as their role in society in 2025?

 

Question 6 - Issues

What are the issues of this variable for women? What have they to lose or gain?

 

Question 7 - Concretes examples

Provide concrete examples showing the interest of taking this variable into account in the assumptions or alternatives of the future.

(Why should this variable be taken into account as a priority in the assumptions or alternatives of the future?)

 

Question 8 - Sources, bibliography and links

List the sources of information that you present, the bibliography and the useful links. Documents, pictures or videos may be added to the

online questionnaire. For each studied question, it will be useful to identify the corresponding source-variables in the Millennia2015 IT2008 report.

 

Additional precisions

 

Question 9

Do you feel personally concerned by the studied variable?

Not at all - a little - moderately - deeply - extremely

 

Question 10

Does this variable actually represent a priority for women in the society in which you operate?

Not at all - a little - moderately - deeply - extremely

 

 

Question 11

Should this variable be part of the priorities for the construction of scenarios of the future by 2025?

Not at all - a little - moderately - deeply - extremely

 

Question 12

Are you a woman / a man?

 

Question 13

Are you part of the age group 15-25, 25-35, 35-35, 45-55, 55-65, 65-75, 75-+ ?

 

Question 14

From which State, region or province are you from?

In which State, region or province do you live?

 

Question 15

The opinion and analysis presented here represent:

- your own opinion;

- the opinion of my association - my community - my country - my region, gathering (number) ….. persons.

 

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Méthode de travail sur les variables par l'équipe de Millennia2015

 

01. Enregistrement des 62 interventions présentées lors de Millennia2015-IT2008;

 

02. Mise en ligne des podcasts vidéo de toutes les interventions sur le portail; 

 

03. Ecoute documentée de chaque intervention, sélection et repérage (minutage, auteur, titre et session) des moments stratégiques;

 

04. Traduction de chaque séquence sélectionnée en anglais ou en français : la langue source apparaît en premier.

 

06. Extraction de 321 variables au départ de chaque séquence, numérotation de chaque variable par ordre chronologique;

 

08. Référencement précis de chaque variable (auteur, session, titre, lieu, date, lien);

 

09. Traduction des variables en anglais ou en français : la langue d'origine est citée en premier lieu pour chaque variable source;

 

10. Découpage de chaque variable source;

 

11. Premier classement de chaque variable source sur base des thématiques de M15-IT2008;

 

12. Ecriture progressive de 52 variables plus ciblées en fonction de la lecture des variables sources;

 

13. Premier classement des 321 variables dans les 52 "boîtes de variables" (numérotation "vs000-c1");

 

14. Deuxième classement des 321 variables sources et regroupement progressif en 47 "boîtes de variables ("vs000-c2");

 

15. Troisième et dernier classement des 321 variables sources ("vs000-c3") dans 37 variables et formulation finale des variables;

 

16. Finalisation du tableau des 321 variables sources, en complétant dans une colonne les numéros des trois variables dans lesquelles elles ont été classées et en comptant le nombre d'occurrences de chaque variable pour classement des plus représentatives;

 

17. Réalisation du tableau des 37 variables finales;

 

18. Répartition des 321 variables sources dans le tableau des 37 variables et formulation complète des variables en français et en anglais;

 

19. Dans une nouvelle colonne du tableau, extraction des mots-clés de chaque variable : chaque mot-clé reçoit ainsi un référence de base par rapport à Millennia2015-IT2008;

 

20. Traduction des mots-clés en anglais et français.

 

21. Réalisation des "fiches variables" : argumentation et documentation de chaque variable sur base des variables sources en fonction de la méthodologie prospective de Millennia2015;

 

22. Structuration des mots-clés pour la base de connaissance de Millennia2015 et quantification de leur occurrence pour analyse.

 

23. Publication des fiches variables sur le portail, organisation méthodologique et diffusion vers les réseaux de Millennia2015 pour travail, appropriation et réponses par toutes les communautés internationales ou régionales de Millennia2015.

 

24. Récolte des réponses et contributions par continents, régions et communautés de Millennia2015.

 

25. Analyse des résultats en préparation de la conférence internationale Millennia2015 KP2011 (Processus de connaissance) à l'Ecole des Mines à Paris en novembre 2011.

 

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